@ WSH (Jan 27, 2002)@ BOS (Feb 5, 2002) ›

January 29, 2002

Entertainment and Sports Arena | Raleigh

BUF 22 CAR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0112
CAR0112
Shots on goal BUF 39, CAR 36
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and tied 2-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .944
CAR A. Irbe .944
CAR T. Barrasso 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
CAR 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
B. Battaglia goal (P3 10:12), Sabres win chance drops from 87% to 50%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
20:15
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:40
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.944 (34/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:55
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

OT 4:55
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 10:12B. Battaglia (18) 87% to 50%-37
  2. P3 09:05C. Gratton (5) 50% to 86%+36
  3. P2 17:08J. O'Neill (21) 78% to 50%-28
  4. P2 02:37M. Afinogenov (17) 50% to 73%+23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
18:51
#19 N. Milley (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
12:01
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
6
1.3
18:06
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
17:51
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
18:05
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
19:11
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.3
17:20
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:14
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
18:01
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
3:18
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
19:57
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
13:17
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
13:47
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
20:15
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
20:07
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
6
0.5
26:40
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.3
24:40
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
19:03
Total
2
4
6
2
39
8.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron362.9441.964:57T

Team Stats

BUFCAR
39Shots on Goal36
3Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
4Penalty Minutes6
28Hits29
22Blocked Shots15
5Giveaways9
10Takeaways16

Full Game Log

2ND
02:37GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (17), assists: Jason Woolley, Tim Connolly
17:08GOAL (CAR): Jeff O'Neill (21), assists: Erik Cole, Rod Brind'Amour
3RD
09:05GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (5), assists: James Patrick, Norman Milley
10:12GOAL (CAR): Bates Battaglia (18), assists: Marek Malik, Ron Francis
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