vs BOS (Mar 1, 2002)vs EDM (Mar 4, 2002) ›

March 2, 2002

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 33 TOR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
TOR0213
Shots on goal BUF 28, TOR 26
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo tied 3-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .885
TOR C. Schwab .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
TOR 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Dumont goal (P3 14:30), Sabres win chance rises from 10% to 47%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Dumont
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
23:57
TOI (F)
J. McKee
22:50
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.885 (23/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:34
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 42%.

OT 4:34
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 14:30J. Dumont (19) 10% to 47%+37
  2. P2 19:35G. Roberts (15) 77% to 47%-30
  3. P3 02:04M. Sundin (33) 42% to 16%-26
  4. P1 19:16C. Gratton (6) 43% to 66%+23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
4
1.7
23:57
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.3
16:41
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.8
20:36
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
23:16
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
19:48
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
0
0.4
19:37
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
2
3
1.0
22:40
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
20:08
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
9:16
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
11:41
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
15:29
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
2:08
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
23:35
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:47
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.5
17:54
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
13:41
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
21:42
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
22:50
Total
3
6
9
10
28
9.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron263.8850.165:00T

Team Stats

BUFTOR
28Shots on Goal26
6Power Play Chances5
33%PP%40%
60%PK%67%
2PPG2
10Penalty Minutes25
39Hits27
13Blocked Shots11
3Giveaways14
11Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
19:16GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (6), assists: Stu Barnes, Miroslav Satan
2ND
00:26GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (32), assists: Gary Roberts, Jonas Hoglund
03:43GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (20), assists: Tim Connolly, Jason Woolley
19:35GOAL (TOR): Gary Roberts (15), assists: Robert Reichel
3RD
02:04GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (33), assists: Bryan McCabe, Tomas Kaberle
14:30GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (19), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Dmitri Kalinin
vs BOS (Mar 1, 2002)vs EDM (Mar 4, 2002) ›