vs MTL (Mar 8, 2002)vs NYI (Mar 12, 2002) ›

March 10, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

DET 15 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
DET0101
BUF3115
Shots on goal DET 20, BUF 29W M. BironL D. Hasek
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .950
DET M. Legace .857
DET D. Hasek .818
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
DET 0 of 7
TURNING POINT
M. Satan goal (P1 4:03), Sabres win chance rises from 45% to 64%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (2G)
POINTS
M. Satan
8
SHOTS
S. Barnes
20:46
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:06
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.950 (19/20)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDET

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 4 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFDET

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 42%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:03M. Satan (21) 45% to 64%+19
  2. P1 04:41C. Brown (16) 63% to 78%+15
  3. P1 13:26M. Afinogenov (20) 81% to 92%+11
  4. P2 01:12C. Gratton (9) 94% to 98%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
2
1.5
12:19
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
2
1.7
17:33
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
+1
2
3
1.6
13:35
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
2
1.5
16:16
#81 M. Satan (RW)
2
0
2
+1
0
8
2.1
19:48
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
2
2
0
0
1
1.4
19:39
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.5
25:06
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.2
12:33
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.4
13:23
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
11:38
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
16:02
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
6:04
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.2
6:24
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
20:46
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.1
16:32
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.3
22:12
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
13:33
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.4
22:39
Total
5
8
13
20
29
11.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron201.9501.260:00W

Team Stats

DETBUF
20Shots on Goal29
7Power Play Chances6
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG2
26Penalty Minutes20
15Hits23
6Blocked Shots21
12Giveaways12
1Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
04:03GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (21), assists: Tim Connolly
04:41GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (16), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Dmitri Kalinin
13:26GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (20), assists: Curtis Brown
2ND
01:12GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (9), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Alexei Zhitnik
04:04GOAL (DET): Pavel Datsyuk (11), assists: Brett Hull, Boyd Devereaux
3RD
14:58GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (22), assists: Chris Gratton, Tim Connolly
vs MTL (Mar 8, 2002)vs NYI (Mar 12, 2002) ›