vs WSH (Mar 26, 2002)@ PHI (Mar 30, 2002) ›

March 28, 2002

Savvis Center | St. Louis

BUF 14 STL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs STL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
STL0404
Shots on goal BUF 13, STL 24W B. JohnsonL M. Noronen
Summary

STL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .789
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
STL B. Johnson .923
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
STL 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
C. Stillman goal (P2 2:18), Sabres win chance drops from 44% to 23%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
22:08
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
28:34
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.789 (15/19)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 22 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFSTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 02:18C. Stillman (19) 44% to 23%-21
  2. P2 06:29T. Nash (5) 22% to 8%-14
  3. P2 09:09K. Tkachuk (32) 8% to 2%-6
  4. P1 09:12Elbowing on Reed Low, 2 min 44% to 47%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.7
16:31
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
1.0
22:08
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
1
1
-3
0
0
0.7
12:38
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
17:45
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:26
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
13:37
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
16:28
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-2
5
1
0.0
18:13
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
12
0
-0.3
4:15
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.1
19:59
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
9:59
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
21:34
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
15:12
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
17
1
-0.3
12:21
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
28:34
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:25
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
16:53
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
15:59
Total
1
2
3
40
13
2.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen194.789-1.532:47L
#43 M. Biron501.0000.527:13

Team Stats

BUFSTL
13Shots on Goal24
6Power Play Chances3
17%PP%0%
100%PK%83%
1PPG0
40Penalty Minutes30
28Hits25
10Blocked Shots13
10Giveaways10
3Takeaways4

Full Game Log

2ND
02:18GOAL (STL): Cory Stillman (19), assists: Reed Low, Alexander Khavanov
06:29GOAL (STL): Tyson Nash (5), assists: Mike Eastwood, Shjon Podein
09:09GOAL (STL): Keith Tkachuk (32), assists: Chris Pronger, Pavol Demitra
12:47GOAL (STL): Keith Tkachuk (33), assists: Al MacInnis
3RD
17:33GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (29), assists: Jason Woolley, Tim Connolly
vs WSH (Mar 26, 2002)@ PHI (Mar 30, 2002) ›