vs FLA (Apr 5, 2002)@ PIT (Apr 10, 2002) ›

April 7, 2002

Ice Palace | Tampa

BUF 53 TBL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF3115
TBL0213
Shots on goal BUF 24, TBL 28W M. BironL N. Khabibulin
Summary

TBL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .893
TBL N. Khabibulin .826
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
TBL 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. Woolley goal (P1 1:26), Sabres win chance rises from 56% to 72%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
4 (1G-3A)
POINTS
C. Brown
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
23:59
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:27
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.893 (25/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 1 minute, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:26J. Woolley (8) 56% to 72%+16
  2. P1 06:36C. Brown (19) 73% to 87%+14
  3. P2 06:35P. Kubina (11) 89% to 77%-12
  4. P2 10:32C. Brown (20) 80% to 93%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
3
4
+1
0
3
3.0
23:59
#37 C. Brown (C)
2
1
3
+1
0
6
2.8
20:27
#5 J. Woolley (D)
1
2
3
+1
0
3
2.3
16:11
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
13:49
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
16:27
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
20:09
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:06
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
16:03
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:43
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:42
#29 R. Corkum (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
10:38
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:23
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
+1
4
1
-0.2
12:56
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
12:24
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:17
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
20:59
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
25:27
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
19:13
Total
5
8
13
8
24
10.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron283.8930.359:39W

Team Stats

BUFTBL
24Shots on Goal28
6Power Play Chances4
33%PP%50%
50%PK%67%
2PPG2
8Penalty Minutes12
18Hits15
13Blocked Shots6
8Giveaways14
6Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
01:26GOAL (BUF): Jason Woolley (8), assists: Tim Connolly, Miroslav Satan
06:36GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (19), assists: Jason Woolley
08:55GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (14), assists: Miroslav Satan, Erik Rasmussen
2ND
00:56GOAL (TBL): Shane Willis (9), assists: Nolan Pratt
06:35GOAL (TBL): Pavel Kubina (11), assists: Brad Richards, Vinny Prospal
10:32GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (20), assists: Miroslav Satan, Jason Woolley
3RD
12:22GOAL (TBL): Vincent Lecavalier (17), assists: Dan Boyle, Pavel Kubina
19:54GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (33), assists: Curtis Brown
vs FLA (Apr 5, 2002)@ PIT (Apr 10, 2002) ›