@ PIT (Oct 26, 2002)@ CGY (Oct 31, 2002) ›

October 29, 2002

General Motors Place | Vancouver

BUF 11 VAN

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs VAN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
VAN0101
Shots on goal BUF 31, VAN 22
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and tied 1-1 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .955
VAN D. Cloutier .968
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 7
VAN 1 of 9
TURNING POINT
A. Kotalik goal (P3 17:21), Sabres win chance rises from 4% to 49%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
8
SHOTS
M. Satan
22:04
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
28:41
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.955 (21/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFVAN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:56
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFVAN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

OT 4:56
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFVAN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:21A. Kotalik (1) 4% to 49%+45
  2. P2 16:04E. Jovanovski (1) 44% to 21%-23
  3. P2 02:51Boarding on Jarkko Ruutu, 5 min 44% to 53%+9
  4. P3 19:54Holding on Alexei Zhitnik, 2 min 49% to 41%-8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
8:40
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.8
21:13
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
15:40
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
13:16
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
12:07
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
8:24
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
12:18
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:29
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
4
2
-0.1
4:15
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:44
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
18:42
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
19:25
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
8
0.6
22:04
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
15:43
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
22:53
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
20:06
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
6
0
-0.4
28:41
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
22:52
Total
1
2
3
22
31
2.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron221.9551.465:00T

Team Stats

BUFVAN
31Shots on Goal22
7Power Play Chances9
0%PP%11%
89%PK%100%
0PPG1
22Penalty Minutes15
3Hits4

Full Game Log

2ND
16:04GOAL (VAN): Ed Jovanovski (1), assists: Mattias Ohlund, Markus Naslund
3RD
17:21GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (1), assists: Jason Woolley, Jochen Hecht
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