@ PHI (Dec 14, 2002)vs FLA (Dec 20, 2002) ›

December 18, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

BOS 24 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS0112
BUF2114
Shots on goal BOS 29, BUF 25W M. BironL S. Shields
Summary

BOS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .931
BOS S. Shields .840
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
BOS 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
C. Gratton goal (P1 4:50), Sabres win chance rises from 43% to 62%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Gratton
4 (1G-3A)
POINTS
M. Satan
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
23:04
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:28
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.931 (27/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 42%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:50C. Gratton (9) 43% to 62%+19
  2. P3 00:18S. Samsonov (4) 92% to 76%-16
  3. P1 06:26T. Pyatt (6) 62% to 79%+17
  4. P2 05:55M. Knuble (7) 85% to 68%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
3
4
+2
0
1
2.6
17:28
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
2
3
+1
0
2
2.3
14:55
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
0
1.3
14:55
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
14:31
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.1
18:53
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
19:42
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
16:04
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
7:30
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
4
0
0.1
15:25
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:25
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
4:35
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
18:57
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
23:04
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:44
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.1
26:28
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
20:26
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:34
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
10
1
0.2
17:30
Total
4
8
12
22
25
10.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron292.9311.259:47W

Team Stats

BOSBUF
29Shots on Goal25
4Power Play Chances5
25%PP%40%
60%PK%75%
1PPG2
24Penalty Minutes22
1Hits2

Full Game Log

1ST
04:50GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (9), assists: J-P Dumont, Henrik Tallinder
06:26GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (6), assists: Tim Connolly, Chris Gratton
2ND
05:55GOAL (BOS): Mike Knuble (7), assists: Joe Thornton, Glen Murray
09:01GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (6), assists: Chris Gratton, Tim Connolly
3RD
00:18GOAL (BOS): Sergei Samsonov (4), assists: Joe Thornton
14:53GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (6), assists: J-P Dumont, Chris Gratton
@ PHI (Dec 14, 2002)vs FLA (Dec 20, 2002) ›