vs FLA (Dec 20, 2002)@ PIT (Dec 23, 2002) ›

December 21, 2002

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 26 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0112
MTL2316
Shots on goal BUF 38, MTL 16W J. TheodoreL M. Noronen
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-6.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .600
Buffalo M. Biron .667
MTL J. Theodore .947
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
MTL 2 of 8
TURNING POINT
Y. Perreault goal (P1 3:21), Sabres win chance drops from 45% to 27%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mair
1 (1G)
POINTS
S. Barnes
17:47
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:20
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.600 (6/10)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 3 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+22+110-11-22shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 03:21Y. Perreault (17) 45% to 27%-18
  2. P1 10:25D. Gilmour (7) 24% to 12%-12
  3. P2 03:43S. Koivu (11) 9% to 3%-6
  4. P1 01:21High sticking on Martin Biron, 2 min 45% to 41%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
1.1
10:07
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
-1
4
5
0.8
15:41
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.6
24:59
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
-3
0
3
0.9
27:20
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.0
16:51
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
12:02
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:20
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
13:55
#19 N. Milley (RW)
0
0
0
-3
4
1
-0.2
11:27
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
11:38
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
15:11
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
9:27
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.4
14:09
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:47
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
6
0.3
17:44
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:21
#21 R. Hecl (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.2
11:07
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
19:54
Total
2
3
5
14
38
6.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen104.600-2.439:34L
#43 M. Biron62.667-1.120:00

Team Stats

BUFMTL
38Shots on Goal16
7Power Play Chances8
14%PP%25%
75%PK%86%
1PPG2
18Penalty Minutes16
1Hits3

Full Game Log

1ST
03:21GOAL (MTL): Yanic Perreault (17), assists: Patrick Traverse, Randy Mckay
10:25GOAL (MTL): Doug Gilmour (7), assists: Mariusz Czerkawski, Yanic Perreault
2ND
03:43GOAL (MTL): Saku Koivu (11), assists: Craig Rivet
06:43GOAL (MTL): Doug Gilmour (8), assists: Yanic Perreault, Randy Mckay
16:02GOAL (MTL): Richard Zednik (16), assists: Saku Koivu
16:46GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (3), assists: Brian Campbell
3RD
06:29GOAL (MTL): Chad Kilger (5), assists: Saku Koivu, Richard Zednik
18:02GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (11), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Henrik Tallinder
vs FLA (Dec 20, 2002)@ PIT (Dec 23, 2002) ›