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December 23, 2002

Mellon Arena | Pittsburgh

BUF 25 PIT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1102
PIT1045
Shots on goal BUF 19, PIT 28W J. HedbergL M. Noronen
Summary

PIT had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .821
PIT J. Hedberg .895
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
PIT 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
A. Kovalev goal (P3 11:09), Sabres win chance drops from 86% to 47%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Dumont
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:50
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:54
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.821 (23/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 32 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 11:09A. Kovalev (18) 86% to 47%-39
  2. P3 13:10M. Lemieux (17) 47% to 9%-38
  3. P2 13:28A. Kotalik (5) 49% to 73%+24
  4. P1 04:50M. Kraft (2) 63% to 44%-19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
18:09
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
4
1.2
17:17
#19 N. Milley (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
12:48
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
-2
5
2
0.9
17:43
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
2
0.7
21:01
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
15:22
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
11:36
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
8:03
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
13:24
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
13:42
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:43
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:50
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.2
14:52
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
21:50
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
20:48
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
25:54
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
17:33
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
19:51
Total
2
4
6
9
19
5.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen285.821-1.460:00L

Team Stats

BUFPIT
19Shots on Goal28
4Power Play Chances2
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
9Penalty Minutes13
2Hits0

Full Game Log

1ST
01:50GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (7), assists: Norman Milley, Chris Gratton
04:50GOAL (PIT): Milan Kraft (2), assists: Michal Sivek, Alex Kovalev
2ND
13:28GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (5), assists: James Patrick, Brian Campbell
3RD
11:09GOAL (PIT): Alex Kovalev (18), assists: Mario Lemieux
13:10GOAL (PIT): Mario Lemieux (17), unassisted
16:02GOAL (PIT): Alex Kovalev (19), assists: Martin Straka, Mario Lemieux
17:11GOAL (PIT): Martin Straka (8), assists: Mario Lemieux
@ MTL (Dec 21, 2002)vs OTT (Dec 26, 2002) ›