@ SJS (Jan 16, 2003)vs PIT (Jan 21, 2003) ›

January 18, 2003

America West Arena | Phoenix

BUF 10 PHX

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHX all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
PHX0000
Shots on goal BUF 23, PHX 30W M. BironL Z. Bierk
Summary

PHX had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 1-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
PHX Z. Bierk .957
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
PHX 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
C. Brown goal (P3 3:17), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 79%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Brown
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
23:13
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:12
TOI (D)
M. Biron
1.000 (30/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHX

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFPHX

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHX
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 03:17C. Brown (8) 48% to 79%+31
  2. P3 12:12High sticking on Jay McKee, 2 min 88% to 82%-6
  3. P3 01:25Tripping on Henrik Tallinder, 2 min 48% to 43%-5
  4. P2 18:54Holding on Denis Hamel, 2 min 48% to 43%-5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
20:25
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.2
23:13
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:23
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:27
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:22
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:34
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
12:08
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:01
#29 J. Kristek (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
12:30
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:33
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
14:24
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
12:30
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:47
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
24:07
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
27:12
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
19:18
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:12
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
20:52
Total
1
1
2
12
23
2.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron3001.0003.059:58W

Team Stats

BUFPHX
23Shots on Goal30
3Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
12Penalty Minutes8
2Hits5

Full Game Log

3RD
03:17GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (8), assists: Miroslav Satan
@ SJS (Jan 16, 2003)vs PIT (Jan 21, 2003) ›