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January 16, 2003

HP Pavilion at San Jose | San Jose

BUF 22 SJS

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs SJS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0022
SJS0022
Shots on goal BUF 25, SJS 33
Summary

SJS had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 2-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .939
SJS E. Nabokov .920
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
SJS 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
C. Gratton goal (P3 10:36), Sabres win chance rises from 12% to 48%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Gratton
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
25:31
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:46
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.939 (31/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSJS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:45
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFSJS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

OT 4:45
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSJS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 10:36C. Gratton (10) 12% to 48%+36
  2. P3 02:55J. Cheechoo (5) 79% to 47%-32
  3. P3 04:22P. Marleau (17) 48% to 17%-31
  4. P3 00:30J. Patrick (2) 47% to 77%+30

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
12:44
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
15:53
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.9
25:31
#3 J. Patrick (D)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
20:00
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.6
21:28
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:32
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
18:07
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:50
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:16
#29 J. Kristek (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
9:59
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
4:46
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
17:50
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
19:25
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
12:54
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
24:53
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
27:46
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:58
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
19:15
Total
2
3
5
10
25
5.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller332.9391.664:49T

Team Stats

BUFSJS
25Shots on Goal33
5Power Play Chances4
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
10Penalty Minutes12
2Hits4

Full Game Log

3RD
00:30GOAL (BUF): James Patrick (2), assists: Miroslav Satan
02:55GOAL (SJS): Jonathan Cheechoo (5), assists: Mike Ricci, Shawn Heins
04:22GOAL (SJS): Patrick Marleau (17), assists: Teemu Selanne, Marco Sturm
10:36GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (10), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Adam Mair
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