vs STL (Feb 11, 2003)vs NYR (Feb 15, 2003) ›

February 13, 2003

Joe Louis Arena | Detroit

BUF 24 DET

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs DET all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0112
DET1214
Shots on goal BUF 33, DET 24W C. JosephL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .833
DET C. Joseph .939
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
DET 2 of 2
TURNING POINT
J. Woolley goal (P1 12:34), Sabres win chance drops from 38% to 20%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
19:41
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:28
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.833 (20/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFDET

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 13 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFDET

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 37%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFDET
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 12:34J. Woolley (5) 38% to 20%-18
  2. P2 00:53S. Fedorov (21) 19% to 8%-11
  3. P2 04:22S. Fedorov (22) 7% to 2%-5
  4. P2 05:02T. Connolly (8) 2% to 7%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.2
15:16
#18 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.1
17:08
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
11:38
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
14:44
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.8
23:24
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
16:51
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
16:01
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
12:18
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:30
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
18:38
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
18:02
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
15:25
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
13:53
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
19:41
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
20:10
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
15:01
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
25:28
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:16
Total
2
4
6
4
33
7.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller244.833-1.058:19L

Team Stats

BUFDET
33Shots on Goal24
2Power Play Chances2
0%PP%100%
0%PK%100%
0PPG2
4Penalty Minutes4
17Hits20
17Blocked Shots10
9Giveaways17
3Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
12:34GOAL (DET): Jason Woolley (5), assists: Brett Hull, Igor Larionov
2ND
00:53GOAL (DET): Sergei Fedorov (21), assists: Brendan Shanahan, Kirk Maltby
04:22GOAL (DET): Sergei Fedorov (22), assists: Brendan Shanahan, Nicklas Lidstrom
05:02GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (8), assists: Ales Kotalik, Jay McKee
3RD
03:11GOAL (DET): Igor Larionov (5), assists: Tomas Holmstrom, Nicklas Lidstrom
05:47GOAL (BUF): Denis Hamel (2), assists: Adam Mair, Dmitri Kalinin
vs STL (Feb 11, 2003)vs NYR (Feb 15, 2003) ›