@ DET (Feb 13, 2003)@ ATL (Feb 17, 2003) ›

February 15, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYR 45 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR1214
BUF3115
Shots on goal NYR 52, BUF 32W M. BironL D. Blackburn
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .923
NYR M. Dunham .600
NYR D. Blackburn .955
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
NYR 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
C. Gratton goal (P1 7:17), Sabres win chance rises from 33% to 52%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
21:17
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
30:11
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.923 (48/52)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 7 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+22+110-11-22shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 07:17C. Gratton (15) 33% to 52%+19
  2. P1 05:22D. Kasparaitis (3) 52% to 33%-19
  3. P1 08:37R. Fitzpatrick (1) 52% to 72%+20
  4. P2 14:37V. Malakhov (3) 93% to 78%-15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
2
2
+2
4
3
1.2
13:42
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.6
21:17
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
2
2
-1
0
1
1.3
14:02
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+2
2
1
0.7
14:59
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.1
12:55
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
-3
0
1
0.9
14:32
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.9
16:59
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
1
0
1
-3
0
2
0.9
17:02
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
12:43
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
+2
0
3
0.2
15:53
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
4:47
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
17:17
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.2
10:52
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
11:59
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
25:20
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
5
0.3
30:11
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
1
-0.1
24:05
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:25
Total
5
6
11
14
32
9.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron524.9231.860:00W

Team Stats

NYRBUF
52Shots on Goal32
6Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes14
12Hits8
4Blocked Shots4
9Giveaways7
2Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
05:22GOAL (NYR): Darius Kasparaitis (3), assists: Ronald Petrovicky, Petr Nedved
07:17GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (15), assists: Miroslav Satan, Taylor Pyatt
08:37GOAL (BUF): Rory Fitzpatrick (1), assists: Ales Kotalik, Brian Campbell
18:20GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (5), assists: Brian Campbell, Ales Kotalik
2ND
01:15GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (19), unassisted
08:00GOAL (NYR): Petr Nedved (21), assists: Darius Kasparaitis, Eric Lindros
14:37GOAL (NYR): Vladimir Malakhov (3), assists: Radek Dvorak, Sandy McCarthy
3RD
01:29GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (10), unassisted
10:40GOAL (NYR): Matthew Barnaby (12), assists: Mark Messier, Jamie Lundmark
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