vs CAR (Mar 12, 2003)@ ATL (Mar 15, 2003) ›

March 14, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TBL 42 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL2114
BUF1102
Shots on goal TBL 33, BUF 28W J. GrahameL M. Noronen
Summary

TBL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .906
TBL J. Grahame .929
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
TBL 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
V. Prospal goal (P1 6:23), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 29%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Pyatt
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
22:34
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:17
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.906 (29/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 06:23V. Prospal (19) 48% to 29%-19
  2. P2 12:26B. Richards (16) 23% to 8%-15
  3. P2 16:49T. Pyatt (9) 7% to 21%+14
  4. P1 13:37D. Brière (18) 13% to 28%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
12:40
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
17:43
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
22:55
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.9
22:57
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:19
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
15:26
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
15:22
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.3
19:48
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
8:57
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
7:06
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:31
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.3
15:43
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
8
4
0.0
15:56
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
22:34
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
18:48
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
16:03
#33 D. Janik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
8:06
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
26:17
Total
2
2
4
12
28
5.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen323.9060.759:09L

Team Stats

TBLBUF
33Shots on Goal28
4Power Play Chances3
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
12Penalty Minutes12
13Hits18
14Blocked Shots10
9Giveaways11
5Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
06:23GOAL (TBL): Vinny Prospal (19), assists: Vincent Lecavalier
10:25GOAL (TBL): Dave Andreychuk (18), assists: Vinny Prospal, Brad Richards
13:37GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (18), unassisted
2ND
12:26GOAL (TBL): Brad Richards (16), assists: Martin St. Louis, Cory Sarich
16:49GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (9), assists: Brian Campbell, Rhett Warrener
3RD
19:45GOAL (TBL): Vinny Prospal (20), unassisted
vs CAR (Mar 12, 2003)@ ATL (Mar 15, 2003) ›