vs TOR (Oct 30, 2003)vs ATL (Nov 5, 2003) ›

November 1, 2003

Corel Centre | Ottawa

BUF 11 OTT

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
OTT0101
Shots on goal BUF 38, OTT 35
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and tied 1-1 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .971
OTT P. Lalime .974
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
OTT 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Patrick goal (P2 3:55), Sabres win chance rises from 42% to 66%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Patrick
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Pyatt
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
23:47
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:43
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.971 (34/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:59
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 40%.

OT 4:59
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 03:55J. Patrick (1) 42% to 66%+24
  2. P2 11:27D. Alfredsson (6) 66% to 43%-23
  3. P3 11:08Cross checking on Alexei Zhitnik, 2 min 45% to 39%-6
  4. P3 07:43Hooking on Shaun Van Allen, 2 min 45% to 50%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
19:05
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
4
0.9
16:39
#3 J. Patrick (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.2
23:33
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:41
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.5
13:02
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
13:37
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:02
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.5
16:27
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.2
6:47
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:19
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
23:22
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:36
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
23:47
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.5
24:14
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:37
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
4
2
-0.1
27:43
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:16
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.2
20:43
Total
1
2
3
10
38
5.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron351.9712.765:00T

Team Stats

BUFOTT
38Shots on Goal35
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
12Penalty Minutes10
30Hits26
15Blocked Shots10
12Giveaways21
7Takeaways9

Full Game Log

2ND
03:55GOAL (BUF): James Patrick (1), assists: Daniel Brière, Chris Drury
11:27GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (6), assists: Zdeno Chara, Radek Bonk
vs TOR (Oct 30, 2003)vs ATL (Nov 5, 2003) ›