@ OTT (Nov 1, 2003)vs MTL (Nov 7, 2003) ›

November 5, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ATL 74 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
ATL1337
BUF2114
Shots on goal ATL 22, BUF 32W P. NurminenL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 4-7.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen 1.000
Buffalo M. Biron .667
ATL P. Nurminen .875
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
ATL 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
R. Robitaille goal (P2 18:55), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 21%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Pyatt
3 (3A)
POINTS
C. Drury
5
SHOTS
T. Pyatt
19:31
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:16
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.667 (14/21)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 18:55R. Robitaille (2) 50% to 21%-29
  2. P2 18:31I. Majesky (1) 79% to 50%-29
  3. P1 17:58J. Dumont (3) 50% to 72%+22
  4. P1 09:29M. Afinogenov (1) 30% to 50%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
3
3
+3
0
3
2.2
19:31
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
2
2
+1
2
0
1.1
12:39
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
17:38
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
0.9
17:37
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
-3
4
3
0.7
16:24
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.1
17:39
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
12:11
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
-3
0
1
0.8
15:27
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
12:41
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
16:32
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
9:40
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
5
0
0.0
5:41
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:54
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
19:52
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
18:27
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
23:16
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.1
18:58
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
0.2
18:33
Total
4
7
11
13
32
9.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron217.667-3.853:20L
#35 M. Noronen101.0000.16:24

Team Stats

ATLBUF
22Shots on Goal32
4Power Play Chances3
25%PP%33%
67%PK%75%
1PPG1
11Penalty Minutes13
12Hits17
13Blocked Shots6
10Giveaways11
4Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
07:34GOAL (ATL): Ilya Kovalchuk (12), assists: Randy Robitaille, Shawn McEachern
09:29GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (1), assists: Adam Mair, Taylor Pyatt
17:58GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (3), assists: Taylor Pyatt, Adam Mair
2ND
04:21GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (2), assists: Miroslav Satan
15:32GOAL (ATL): Jean-Pierre Vigier (2), assists: Serge Aubin, Patrik Stefan
18:31GOAL (ATL): Ivan Majesky (1), assists: Jeff Cowan, Simon Gamache
18:55GOAL (ATL): Randy Robitaille (2), assists: Shawn McEachern, Ilya Kovalchuk
3RD
05:41GOAL (ATL): Yannick Tremblay (1), assists: Randy Robitaille, Shawn McEachern
10:50GOAL (ATL): Patrik Stefan (2), unassisted
12:58GOAL (ATL): Serge Aubin (2), assists: Yannick Tremblay, Ilya Kovalchuk
14:31GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (2), assists: Taylor Pyatt, Chris Drury
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