vs PHI (Jan 7, 2004)@ BOS (Jan 12, 2004) ›

January 9, 2004

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 23 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT0022
BUF0123
Shots on goal OTT 25, BUF 32W M. BironL P. Lalime
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .920
OTT P. Lalime .906
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 5
OTT 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
R. Fitzpatrick goal (P3 17:13), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 94%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
5
SHOTS
J. Hecht
21:09
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
25:22
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.920 (23/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 39%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:13R. Fitzpatrick (2) 49% to 94%+45
  2. P3 14:29T. White (8) 90% to 46%-44
  3. P2 17:25J. Dumont (12) 43% to 72%+29
  4. P3 04:51D. Brière (13) 81% to 94%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
1
2
0
0
4
2.1
19:52
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
17:18
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
16:24
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
2
4
0.7
21:09
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
5
1.4
18:15
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
1
0
1
-1
6
2
0.5
21:37
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.8
23:01
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.0
25:22
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
16:53
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:09
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
5:04
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
13:49
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:10
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
17:47
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
15:21
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
16:43
#33 D. Janik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
10:07
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
22:41
Total
3
6
9
8
32
9.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron252.9200.859:54W

Team Stats

OTTBUF
25Shots on Goal32
4Power Play Chances5
25%PP%60%
40%PK%75%
1PPG3
10Penalty Minutes8
13Hits11
8Blocked Shots12
10Giveaways14
3Takeaways3

Full Game Log

2ND
17:25GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (12), assists: Daniel Brière, Jochen Hecht
3RD
04:51GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (13), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Alexei Zhitnik
14:04GOAL (OTT): Martin Havlat (9), assists: Marian Hossa, Bryan Smolinski
14:29GOAL (OTT): Todd White (8), assists: Daniel Alfredsson, Jason Spezza
17:13GOAL (BUF): Rory Fitzpatrick (2), assists: Miroslav Satan, Chris Drury
vs PHI (Jan 7, 2004)@ BOS (Jan 12, 2004) ›