@ BOS (Jan 12, 2004)vs BOS (Jan 15, 2004) ›

January 13, 2004

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 26 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI2002
BUF2136
Shots on goal PHI 37, BUF 25W M. NoronenL J. Hackett
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .946
PHI J. Hackett .760
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 11
PHI 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
C. Brown goal (P2 18:17), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 77%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
C. Drury
3
SHOTS
J. Hecht
19:27
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:40
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.946 (35/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 18:17C. Brown (8) 47% to 77%+30
  2. P1 13:52C. Brown (7) 26% to 46%+20
  3. P1 09:50T. Amonte (12) 46% to 27%-19
  4. P1 02:42C. Drury (8) 28% to 46%+18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
2
3
+2
0
3
2.5
19:11
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.5
13:47
#37 C. Brown (C)
2
0
2
+3
2
3
1.8
17:24
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
0
7
3
1.5
19:27
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.7
12:36
#16 C. Taylor (C)
1
0
1
+1
4
1
0.7
6:28
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.8
17:01
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+2
2
1
0.8
18:59
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
15:44
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
16:36
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.7
16:30
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
3
1.0
27:40
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.1
26:10
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:50
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
14:57
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
11:49
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
2:50
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
17:00
Total
6
12
18
20
25
14.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen372.9462.060:00W

Team Stats

PHIBUF
37Shots on Goal25
5Power Play Chances11
0%PP%18%
82%PK%100%
0PPG2
51Penalty Minutes20
17Hits18
12Blocked Shots10
9Giveaways5
1Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
02:34GOAL (PHI): Kim Johnsson (4), assists: Sami Kapanen, Jeremy Roenick
02:42GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (8), assists: James Patrick, Henrik Tallinder
09:50GOAL (PHI): Tony Amonte (12), unassisted
13:52GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (7), assists: Chris Drury, Rory Fitzpatrick
2ND
18:17GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (8), assists: Chris Drury, Miroslav Satan
3RD
04:13GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (15), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jason Botterill
04:34GOAL (BUF): Jason Botterill (2), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Dmitri Kalinin
13:01GOAL (BUF): Chris Taylor (4), assists: Jochen Hecht, Ales Kotalik
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