vs SJS (Feb 10, 2004)@ TOR (Feb 14, 2004) ›

February 13, 2004

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

LAK 38 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs LAK all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK1203
BUF1348
Shots on goal LAK 24, BUF 36W M. BironL R. Cechmanek
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 8-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .875
LAK R. Cechmanek .773
LAK C. Huet .786
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
LAK 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
R. Fitzpatrick goal (P2 18:50), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 79%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
5
SHOTS
C. Drury
19:00
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:20
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.875 (21/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFLAK

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 12 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFLAK

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFLAK
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 18:50R. Fitzpatrick (4) 50% to 79%+29
  2. P2 17:41C. Drury (12) 22% to 50%+28
  3. P1 15:11A. Kotalik (13) 29% to 50%+21
  4. P2 04:02S. Barney (4) 48% to 27%-21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
2
3
+2
0
3
2.1
16:52
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
2
3
+1
0
4
2.5
16:53
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
2
2
+3
2
1
1.1
13:55
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
2
0
2
+2
2
5
1.9
14:51
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
2
2
0
2
2
1.3
18:44
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
2
2
+1
2
2
1.5
24:20
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+3
0
0
0.7
14:45
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.7
6:40
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
19:00
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.2
15:44
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
1
0
1
+2
4
3
0.9
19:46
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.8
22:03
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
14:54
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
5:11
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
13:18
#5 A. Delmore (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
14:06
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.4
22:27
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
13:53
Total
8
12
20
16
36
16.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron243.875-0.160:00W

Team Stats

LAKBUF
24Shots on Goal36
6Power Play Chances4
17%PP%25%
75%PK%83%
1PPG1
24Penalty Minutes16
15Hits17
13Blocked Shots12
11Giveaways16
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
01:34GOAL (LAK): Jozef Stumpel (6), assists: Scott Barney
15:11GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (13), assists: Miroslav Satan, Daniel Brière
2ND
04:02GOAL (LAK): Scott Barney (4), assists: Alex Frolov, Jozef Stumpel
12:04GOAL (LAK): Ian Laperriere (4), assists: Eric Belanger, Sean Avery
15:59GOAL (BUF): Henrik Tallinder (1), assists: Adam Mair, Taylor Pyatt
17:41GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (12), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Ales Kotalik
18:50GOAL (BUF): Rory Fitzpatrick (4), assists: Daniel Brière, Ales Kotalik
3RD
00:34GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (19), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Miroslav Satan
08:37GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (7), unassisted
11:29GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (11), assists: Derek Roy, Taylor Pyatt
12:55GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (12), unassisted
vs SJS (Feb 10, 2004)@ TOR (Feb 14, 2004) ›