@ NYI (Feb 21, 2004)vs NYI (Feb 27, 2004) ›

February 25, 2004

Continental Airlines Arena | East Rutherford

BUF 28 NJD

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2002
NJD3238
Shots on goal BUF 22, NJD 31W M. BrodeurL M. Noronen
Summary

NJD had more shots on goal in all situations and won 8-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .769
Buffalo M. Biron .600
NJD M. Brodeur .909
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
NJD 2 of 7
TURNING POINT
B. Gionta goal (P1 16:13), Sabres win chance drops from 43% to 23%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
20:38
TOI (F)
R. Fitzpatrick
22:59
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.769 (20/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 41%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 16:13B. Gionta (16) 43% to 23%-20
  2. P1 02:02D. Roy (3) 24% to 42%+18
  3. P1 01:29P. Elias (26) 39% to 24%-15
  4. P1 18:04J. Pandolfo (10) 24% to 10%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
-1
0
2
1.7
18:05
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
-1
0
5
1.9
15:53
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
0
2
3
0.7
14:30
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
-2
9
0
0.6
18:06
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:03
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
3
0.2
15:55
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-2
5
2
0.4
8:28
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
17:46
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.1
4:26
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:45
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-3
4
0
-0.3
8:46
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
20:38
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
20:00
#5 A. Delmore (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
18:07
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
22:59
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.5
21:11
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-4
0
0
0.2
21:20
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
0.0
16:44
Total
2
4
6
31
22
6.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen266.769-2.542:46L
#43 M. Biron52.600-1.217:13

Team Stats

BUFNJD
22Shots on Goal31
2Power Play Chances7
50%PP%29%
71%PK%50%
1PPG2
31Penalty Minutes31
5Hits5
21Blocked Shots13
17Giveaways30
8Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
01:29GOAL (NJD): Patrik Elias (26), assists: Brian Rafalski, Scott Gomez
02:02GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (3), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Taylor Pyatt
16:13GOAL (NJD): Brian Gionta (16), assists: Paul Martin, Patrik Elias
18:04GOAL (NJD): Jay Pandolfo (10), assists: John Madden, Scott Niedermayer
19:04GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (14), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Derek Roy
2ND
18:16GOAL (NJD): Jay Pandolfo (11), assists: John Madden, Turner Stevenson
19:59GOAL (NJD): Brian Rafalski (5), assists: Scott Gomez, Patrik Elias
3RD
02:47GOAL (NJD): Brian Gionta (17), assists: Scott Gomez, Patrik Elias
03:07GOAL (NJD): Jeff Friesen (14), unassisted
15:34GOAL (NJD): Patrik Elias (27), assists: Scott Niedermayer, Brian Gionta
@ NYI (Feb 21, 2004)vs NYI (Feb 27, 2004) ›