vs NYI (Feb 27, 2004)vs OTT (Mar 3, 2004) ›

February 28, 2004

Corel Centre | Ottawa

BUF 17 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1001
OTT1337
Shots on goal BUF 15, OTT 33W P. LalimeL M. Noronen
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations and won 7-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .788
OTT P. Lalime .933
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
OTT 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
D. Alfredsson goal (P1 19:16), Sabres win chance drops from 59% to 36%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mair
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Brière
20:15
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
25:57
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.788 (26/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 16 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 33%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 19:16D. Alfredsson (26) 59% to 36%-23
  2. P2 11:18W. Redden (14) 38% to 16%-22
  3. P1 04:15A. Mair (3) 34% to 53%+19
  4. P2 16:14B. Smolinski (17) 15% to 4%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2003–04 regular season (82 games).

Wins (37)Losses (38, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 88% when yes, 17% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 100% when yes, 37% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 73% when yes, 26% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
11:44
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
2:59
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.8
20:11
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.4
16:24
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
18:11
#19 N. Milley (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
11:11
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
18:06
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-4
6
1
-0.4
16:28
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
11:13
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
20:15
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
17:10
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
12:13
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.1
4:27
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
14:44
#5 A. Delmore (D)
0
0
0
-4
0
0
0.2
19:18
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-4
2
3
0.2
23:43
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.3
25:57
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
23:13
Total
1
2
3
19
15
3.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen337.788-2.659:54L

Team Stats

BUFOTT
15Shots on Goal33
5Power Play Chances6
0%PP%17%
83%PK%100%
0PPG1
19Penalty Minutes17
31Hits33
22Blocked Shots9
17Giveaways19
9Takeaways16

Full Game Log

1ST
04:15GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (3), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Rory Fitzpatrick
19:16GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (26), assists: Peter Schaefer, Mike Fisher
2ND
11:18GOAL (OTT): Wade Redden (14), assists: Jason Spezza, Marian Hossa
16:14GOAL (OTT): Bryan Smolinski (17), assists: Wade Redden
16:46GOAL (OTT): Zdeno Chara (14), assists: Bryan Smolinski, Daniel Alfredsson
3RD
05:40GOAL (OTT): Peter Bondra (23), assists: Bryan Smolinski, Zdeno Chara
07:41GOAL (OTT): Marian Hossa (28), assists: Mike Fisher, Peter Bondra
16:08GOAL (OTT): Chris Neil (7), assists: Jason Spezza
vs NYI (Feb 27, 2004)vs OTT (Mar 3, 2004) ›