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October 10, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PIT 23 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
PIT11002
BUF11013
Shots on goal PIT 28, BUF 41W R. MillerL M. Fleury
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .929
PIT M. Fleury .927
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
PIT 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (OT 4:39), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 100%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Lydman
2 (2A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
7
SHOTS
J. Hecht
20:57
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:05
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.929 (26/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:39
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

OT 4:39
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 04:39J. Hecht (1) 50% to 100%+50
  2. P2 16:57M. Recchi (2) 79% to 53%-26
  3. P2 10:26P. Gaustad (1) 54% to 77%+23
  4. P1 06:35Z. Palffy (3) 73% to 55%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
3
1.6
24:05
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
5
0.8
16:22
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
1.1
20:02
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
10:01
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
14:33
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
10:51
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
0
0
7
1.5
20:57
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.9
21:02
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
18:38
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.5
19:05
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
20:53
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.5
19:34
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
15:45
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
21:07
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.4
19:10
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
9:11
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:39
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
19:57
Total
3
6
9
4
41
10.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller282.9291.164:31W

Team Stats

PITBUF
28Shots on Goal41
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes8
15Hits9
14Blocked Shots9
11Giveaways12
2Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
03:21GOAL (BUF): Rory Fitzpatrick (1), assists: Mike Grier, Taylor Pyatt
06:35GOAL (PIT): Ziggy Palffy (3), assists: Sergei Gonchar, Mark Recchi
2ND
10:26GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (1), assists: Toni Lydman, Ales Kotalik
16:57GOAL (PIT): Mark Recchi (2), assists: Sidney Crosby, Ziggy Palffy
OT
04:39GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (1), assists: Tim Connolly, Toni Lydman
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