vs PIT (Oct 10, 2005)@ FLA (Oct 15, 2005) ›

October 13, 2005

St. Pete Times Forum | Tampa

BUF 43 TBL

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF111014
TBL120003
Shots on goal BUF 33, TBL 35W R. MillerL J. Grahame
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .914
TBL J. Grahame .909
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 9
TBL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
T. Lydman goal (P3 11:13), Sabres win chance rises from 13% to 49%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. Gaustad
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
22:44
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
23:00
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.914 (32/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 3:26
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 11:13T. Lydman (1) 13% to 49%+36
  2. P2 13:51V. Prospal (2) 48% to 23%-25
  3. P2 10:16P. Gaustad (2) 25% to 48%+23
  4. P2 01:24V. Lecavalier (2) 47% to 27%-20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
2
2
0
0
2
1.5
22:44
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.5
11:07
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
12:44
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
7
1.3
20:48
#5 T. Lydman (D)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
23:00
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
9:44
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:19
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
20:09
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
16:01
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
19:47
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:27
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:12
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
15:05
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:26
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
19:43
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
18:50
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:30
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
18:53
Total
3
5
8
2
33
8.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller353.9141.064:54W

Team Stats

BUFTBL
33Shots on Goal35
9Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
4Penalty Minutes28
8Hits15
7Blocked Shots12
6Giveaways8
6Takeaways18

Full Game Log

1ST
05:15GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (3), assists: Thomas Vanek
08:14GOAL (TBL): Brad Richards (2), unassisted
2ND
01:24GOAL (TBL): Vincent Lecavalier (2), assists: Darryl Sydor, Timo Helbling
10:16GOAL (BUF): Paul Gaustad (2), assists: Taylor Pyatt, Dmitri Kalinin
13:51GOAL (TBL): Vinny Prospal (2), assists: Ruslan Fedotenko, Cory Sarich
3RD
11:13GOAL (BUF): Toni Lydman (1), assists: Thomas Vanek, Paul Gaustad
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière, assists: John Grahame(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek, assists: John Grahame(SO)
vs PIT (Oct 10, 2005)@ FLA (Oct 15, 2005) ›