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October 15, 2005

BankAtlantic Center | Sunrise

BUF 23 FLA

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
FLA0213
Shots on goal BUF 34, FLA 42W R. LuongoL R. Miller
Summary

FLA had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .929
FLA R. Luongo .941
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
FLA 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
O. Jokinen goal (P3 18:53), Sabres win chance drops from 41% to 2%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
2 (2G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
6
SHOTS
T. Vanek
18:18
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
20:26
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.929 (39/42)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 18:53O. Jokinen (2) 41% to 2%-39
  2. P3 04:23D. Brière (5) 18% to 48%+30
  3. P2 12:50M. Gelinas (1) 47% to 23%-24
  4. P2 07:12N. Horton (3) 70% to 47%-23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
4
1.6
15:38
#48 D. Brière (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
4
1.9
17:59
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.8
19:10
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:42
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
16:58
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:56
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:42
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
15:24
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
6
0.5
18:18
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
11:04
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
12
3
-0.1
17:28
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
16:00
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.4
20:26
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
18:11
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.4
19:37
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
17:07
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
15:43
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
5:51
Total
2
3
5
24
34
5.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller423.9291.759:33L

Team Stats

BUFFLA
34Shots on Goal42
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
24Penalty Minutes10
6Hits13
14Blocked Shots13
5Giveaways7
4Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
13:13GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (4), assists: J-P Dumont
2ND
07:12GOAL (FLA): Nathan Horton (3), assists: Rostislav Olesz, Mike Van Ryn
12:50GOAL (FLA): Martin Gelinas (1), assists: Mike Van Ryn, Juraj Kolnik
3RD
04:23GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (5), assists: Jay McKee, J-P Dumont
18:53GOAL (FLA): Olli Jokinen (2), assists: Mike Van Ryn, Lukas Krajicek
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