@ BOS (Oct 20, 2005)vs WSH (Oct 26, 2005) ›

October 22, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYR 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR1001
BUF0213
Shots on goal NYR 23, BUF 31W R. MillerL H. Lundqvist
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .957
NYR H. Lundqvist .903
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 8
NYR 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
R. Fitzpatrick goal (P2 8:48), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 74%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Numminen
2 (2A)
POINTS
C. Drury
20:37
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
22:31
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.957 (22/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 21 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 08:48R. Fitzpatrick (2) 51% to 74%+23
  2. P1 13:04M. Nylander (2) 51% to 31%-20
  3. P2 00:44D. Brière (7) 32% to 51%+19
  4. P3 13:04Hooking on Henrik Tallinder, 2 min 87% to 80%-7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
2
2
0
0
1
1.3
22:31
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.3
13:14
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
16:29
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.6
12:13
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.3
18:26
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
6
1.0
17:39
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
18:10
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.6
21:58
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.5
16:09
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
13:35
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
4:49
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
20:37
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
8:41
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
13:53
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
18:44
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
21:59
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
17:09
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
13:49
Total
3
6
9
10
31
8.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller231.9571.559:55W

Team Stats

NYRBUF
23Shots on Goal31
5Power Play Chances8
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG2
16Penalty Minutes10
9Hits9
16Blocked Shots9
11Giveaways5
2Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
13:04GOAL (NYR): Michael Nylander (2), assists: Jaromir Jagr, Darius Kasparaitis
2ND
00:44GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (7), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Teppo Numminen
08:48GOAL (BUF): Rory Fitzpatrick (2), assists: Thomas Vanek, Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
16:28GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (3), assists: Teppo Numminen, Paul Gaustad
@ BOS (Oct 20, 2005)vs WSH (Oct 26, 2005) ›