vs NYR (Oct 22, 2005)@ NJD (Oct 28, 2005) ›

October 26, 2005

Blue Cross Arena | Rochester

WSH 32 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH1113
BUF1012
Shots on goal WSH 28, BUF 17W O. KolzigL R. Miller
Summary

WSH had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .893
WSH O. Kolzig .882
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
WSH 1 of 7
TURNING POINT
J. Heward goal (P3 4:22), Sabres win chance drops from 55% to 24%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
J. Hecht
22:29
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
21:21
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.893 (25/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 25 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 04:22J. Heward (2) 55% to 24%-31
  2. P3 01:18J. Hecht (2) 30% to 57%+27
  3. P2 01:48P. Sykora (2) 59% to 37%-22
  4. P1 15:00J. Friesen (1) 78% to 60%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
-1
4
1
0.5
18:19
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.9
18:28
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.7
18:19
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
4
1.2
22:29
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.9
17:23
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
0
4
1
0.5
21:21
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
15:22
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:08
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
3:43
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
14:38
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:09
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
9:58
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
19:34
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
20:41
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:31
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:34
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
5:15
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
12:51
Total
2
4
6
14
17
5.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller283.8930.359:30L

Team Stats

WSHBUF
28Shots on Goal17
7Power Play Chances6
14%PP%33%
67%PK%86%
1PPG2
12Penalty Minutes14
16Hits14
10Blocked Shots16
9Giveaways10
2Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
14:38GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (4), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Toni Lydman
15:00GOAL (WSH): Jeff Friesen (1), assists: Petr Sykora, Steve Eminger
2ND
01:48GOAL (WSH): Petr Sykora (2), assists: Matt Pettinger, Steve Eminger
3RD
01:18GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (2), assists: Chris Drury, Daniel Brière
04:22GOAL (WSH): Jamie Heward (2), assists: Bryan Muir, Alex Ovechkin
vs NYR (Oct 22, 2005)@ NJD (Oct 28, 2005) ›