vs WSH (Oct 26, 2005)@ NYI (Oct 29, 2005) ›

October 28, 2005

Continental Airlines Arena | East Rutherford

BUF 23 NJD

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0022
NJD0123
Shots on goal BUF 27, NJD 27W S. ClemmensenL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .889
NJD S. Clemmensen .926
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
NJD 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
C. Drury goal (P3 13:42), Sabres win chance rises from 10% to 50%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
1 (1G)
POINTS
C. Drury
19:29
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
21:47
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.889 (24/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 13:42C. Drury (1) 10% to 50%+40
  2. P3 14:37S. Brylin (6) 44% to 9%-35
  3. P2 16:42E. Rasmussen (1) 49% to 23%-26
  4. P3 03:51S. Gomez (2) 19% to 5%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.2
19:29
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
14:30
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
1.1
15:25
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
21:47
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
18:05
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:43
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.2
14:43
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
15:54
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:39
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
13:46
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:57
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
12:05
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.4
15:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
17:38
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
15:37
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.4
19:52
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
21:29
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
17:06
Total
2
3
5
6
27
6.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller273.8890.259:01L

Team Stats

BUFNJD
27Shots on Goal27
5Power Play Chances3
20%PP%33%
67%PK%80%
1PPG1
6Penalty Minutes12
4Hits16
18Blocked Shots6
17Giveaways13
4Takeaways10

Full Game Log

2ND
16:42GOAL (NJD): Erik Rasmussen (1), assists: Grant Marshall, Alexander Mogilny
3RD
03:51GOAL (NJD): Scott Gomez (2), assists: Sergei Brylin
12:15GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (8), assists: Dmitri Kalinin
13:42GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (1), assists: Mike Grier, Teppo Numminen
14:37GOAL (NJD): Sergei Brylin (6), assists: Brian Rafalski, Paul Martin
vs WSH (Oct 26, 2005)@ NYI (Oct 29, 2005) ›