@ NYI (Oct 29, 2005)vs MTL (Nov 4, 2005) ›

November 2, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 104 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT43310
BUF0314
Shots on goal OTT 36, BUF 37W R. EmeryL M. Noronen
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 4-10.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .765
Buffalo M. Biron .684
OTT R. Emery .892
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
OTT 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
D. Heatley goal (P1 0:34), Sabres win chance drops from 48% to 31%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
C. Drury
22:32
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
24:22
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.765 (13/17)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 1 minute, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 00:34D. Heatley (9) 48% to 31%-17
  2. P1 03:13M. Havlat (2) 30% to 17%-13
  3. P1 07:27D. Heatley (10) 16% to 7%-9
  4. P2 13:19A. Kotalik (7) 3% to 9%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
2
3
-1
2
3
2.1
22:19
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
19:10
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
-3
0
3
0.8
17:30
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
-2
0
3
1.0
22:32
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
-2
0
5
1.3
16:38
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
-3
2
2
0.9
17:30
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
-3
0
0
0.6
18:11
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-3
0
2
0.9
24:22
#74 J. McKee (D)
1
0
1
0
0
1
1.0
16:07
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
19:02
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.3
11:02
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0:29
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
7
1
-0.1
7:23
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.4
22:05
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
5
1
0.1
3:51
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.1
17:11
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
19:52
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
16:21
Total
4
7
11
18
37
10.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen174.765-1.732:33L
#43 M. Biron196.684-3.227:24

Team Stats

OTTBUF
36Shots on Goal37
4Power Play Chances7
50%PP%29%
71%PK%50%
2PPG2
26Penalty Minutes20
9Hits14
9Blocked Shots10
12Giveaways12
3Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
00:34GOAL (OTT): Dany Heatley (9), assists: Daniel Alfredsson, Jason Spezza
03:13GOAL (OTT): Martin Havlat (2), assists: Chris Neil, Brian Pothier
07:27GOAL (OTT): Dany Heatley (10), assists: Jason Spezza, Daniel Alfredsson
13:54GOAL (OTT): Martin Havlat (3), assists: Peter Schaefer
2ND
02:36GOAL (OTT): Martin Havlat (4), assists: Peter Schaefer, Zdeno Chara
06:14GOAL (BUF): Jay McKee (1), assists: Daniel Brière, J-P Dumont
10:52GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (2), assists: Thomas Vanek
13:19GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (7), assists: Brian Campbell, Daniel Brière
16:58GOAL (OTT): Martin Havlat (5), assists: Andrej Meszaros
18:32GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (8), unassisted
3RD
05:12GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (9), assists: Jason Spezza, Zdeno Chara
09:13GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (10), assists: Dany Heatley, Jason Spezza
14:01GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (10), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Teppo Numminen
16:00GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (11), assists: Wade Redden
@ NYI (Oct 29, 2005)vs MTL (Nov 4, 2005) ›