vs OTT (Nov 2, 2005)@ MTL (Nov 5, 2005) ›

November 4, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MTL 32 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL1023
BUF1102
Shots on goal MTL 31, BUF 26W Y. DanisL M. Biron
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .903
MTL Y. Danis .923
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
MTL 0 of 7
TURNING POINT
N. Sundstrom goal (P3 17:08), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 6%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mair
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Dumont
6
SHOTS
C. Drury
21:31
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
20:56
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.903 (28/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 26 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:08N. Sundstrom (3) 50% to 6%-44
  2. P3 05:06M. Ryder (7) 81% to 51%-30
  3. P2 00:49A. Mair (1) 51% to 72%+21
  4. P1 09:59A. Perezhogin (4) 70% to 51%-19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
5
1.2
15:13
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
5:14
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.6
11:43
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
11:33
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
-2
2
1
0.5
15:16
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
1
0
1
-2
0
1
1.0
16:52
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
0.1
11:13
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
14:35
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
14:44
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
21:31
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:15
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.5
18:55
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
20:38
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
20:56
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:41
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.3
20:31
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
19:38
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.4
19:16
Total
2
4
6
12
26
6.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron313.9030.659:15L

Team Stats

MTLBUF
31Shots on Goal26
7Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
12Penalty Minutes16
8Hits11
13Blocked Shots20
11Giveaways12
2Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
02:53GOAL (BUF): Rory Fitzpatrick (3), assists: Thomas Vanek, Maxim Afinogenov
09:59GOAL (MTL): Alexander Perezhogin (4), assists: Andrei Markov, Chris Higgins
2ND
00:49GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (1), assists: Ales Kotalik, Paul Gaustad
3RD
05:06GOAL (MTL): Michael Ryder (7), assists: Mike Ribeiro, Francis Bouillon
17:08GOAL (MTL): Niklas Sundstrom (3), assists: Steve Begin, Mathieu Dandenault
vs OTT (Nov 2, 2005)@ MTL (Nov 5, 2005) ›