vs CAR (Nov 9, 2005)@ OTT (Nov 12, 2005) ›

November 11, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 25 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0202
BUF1135
Shots on goal TOR 29, BUF 30W M. BironL E. Belfour
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .931
TOR E. Belfour .862
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
TOR 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
T. Connolly goal (P3 6:44), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 83%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
J. Dumont
19:15
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
21:32
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.931 (27/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 26 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 06:44T. Connolly (4) 50% to 83%+33
  2. P2 15:13E. Lindros (9) 76% to 51%-25
  3. P2 12:33C. Drury (3) 54% to 77%+23
  4. P2 04:24A. Steen (7) 72% to 51%-21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
2
1
3
+2
0
2
2.3
18:00
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
3
3
+3
0
0
1.9
15:05
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.9
13:48
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
2
2
+2
2
0
1.0
18:52
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
14:27
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
12:53
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
4
1.3
16:34
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
1.0
17:50
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.8
21:32
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
12:45
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.3
15:07
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
19:15
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:46
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
5
0.6
15:56
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
18:51
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
14:47
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:06
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
19:35
Total
5
10
15
6
30
13.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron292.9311.259:55W

Team Stats

TORBUF
29Shots on Goal30
3Power Play Chances7
33%PP%29%
71%PK%67%
1PPG2
14Penalty Minutes6
15Hits5
7Blocked Shots12
4Giveaways11
0Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
06:46GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (3), assists: Toni Lydman, Dmitri Kalinin
2ND
04:24GOAL (TOR): Alexander Steen (7), assists: Mats Sundin
12:33GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (3), assists: Jochen Hecht, Teppo Numminen
15:13GOAL (TOR): Eric Lindros (9), assists: Chad Kilger, Tie Domi
3RD
06:44GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (4), assists: Teppo Numminen, Dmitri Kalinin
17:02GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (2), assists: Chris Drury, Teppo Numminen
19:48GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (3), assists: Taylor Pyatt, Tim Connolly
vs CAR (Nov 9, 2005)@ OTT (Nov 12, 2005) ›