vs TOR (Nov 11, 2005)vs NJD (Nov 15, 2005) ›

November 12, 2005

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 16 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
OTT1416
Shots on goal BUF 25, OTT 37W R. EmeryL M. Biron
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .838
OTT R. Emery .960
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
OTT 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
C. Neil goal (P1 19:59), Sabres win chance drops from 37% to 19%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Roy
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
D. Brière
18:31
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
20:02
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.838 (31/37)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 20 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 35%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 19:59C. Neil (7) 37% to 19%-18
  2. P2 00:59D. Alfredsson (15) 19% to 8%-11
  3. P2 01:15D. Heatley (14) 8% to 3%-5
  4. P1 17:59Tripping on Toni Lydman, 2 min 37% to 33%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
12:44
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
16:36
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.7
19:24
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-3
2
3
0.1
13:28
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
13:11
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
18:20
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
8:22
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.3
17:25
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
12:10
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
15:15
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
5
0.4
15:33
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
13:18
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.6
18:31
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
17:12
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
4
0
0.0
19:19
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:13
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
19:39
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
20:02
Total
1
2
3
10
25
4.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron376.838-1.460:00L

Team Stats

BUFOTT
25Shots on Goal37
5Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes10
21Hits23
13Blocked Shots12
11Giveaways7
8Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
19:59GOAL (OTT): Chris Neil (7), assists: Bryan Smolinski, Brian Pothier
2ND
00:59GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (15), assists: Wade Redden
01:15GOAL (OTT): Dany Heatley (14), assists: Daniel Alfredsson
05:15GOAL (OTT): Mike Fisher (3), assists: Zdeno Chara, Bryan Smolinski
16:55GOAL (OTT): Dany Heatley (15), assists: Zdeno Chara, Mike Fisher
3RD
05:30GOAL (OTT): Brian Pothier (1), assists: Daniel Alfredsson, Dany Heatley
14:21GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Teppo Numminen
vs TOR (Nov 11, 2005)vs NJD (Nov 15, 2005) ›