@ PIT (Dec 16, 2005)@ PHI (Dec 19, 2005) ›

December 17, 2005

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PIT 34 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT1023
BUF3104
Shots on goal PIT 33, BUF 29W M. BironL J. Thibault
Summary

PIT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .909
PIT J. Thibault .862
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
PIT 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
A. Mair goal (P1 3:32), Sabres win chance rises from 63% to 79%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
21:08
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
20:23
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.909 (30/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 4 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 64%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 03:32A. Mair (2) 63% to 79%+16
  2. P1 10:50S. Crosby (14) 90% to 79%-11
  3. P1 06:46M. Afinogenov (7) 79% to 90%+11
  4. P3 09:43T. Surovy (1) 98% to 88%-10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
2
3
+2
2
4
2.3
17:44
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
4
1.4
18:44
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
0
0
0
1.4
21:08
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
19:29
#22 A. Mair (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
11:28
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
-2
2
3
0.9
14:51
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
-1
0
5
1.3
17:03
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
20:23
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
9:36
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
16:12
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:18
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
18:17
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
12
1
0.1
3:48
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
16:57
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.3
19:51
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
16:30
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
20:23
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
17:20
Total
4
8
12
18
29
10.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron333.9090.859:58W

Team Stats

PITBUF
33Shots on Goal29
3Power Play Chances6
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG2
24Penalty Minutes18
10Hits11
18Blocked Shots11
13Giveaways13
2Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
03:32GOAL (BUF): Adam Mair (2), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Derek Roy
06:46GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (7), assists: Tim Connolly, Toni Lydman
10:50GOAL (PIT): Sidney Crosby (14), assists: Ryan Malone, Josef Melichar
18:15GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (3), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Derek Roy
2ND
15:34GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (11), assists: Tim Connolly, Ales Kotalik
3RD
00:24GOAL (PIT): Michel Ouellet (2), assists: Tomas Surovy, Sergei Gonchar
09:43GOAL (PIT): Tomas Surovy (1), assists: Ryan Whitney, Michel Ouellet
@ PIT (Dec 16, 2005)@ PHI (Dec 19, 2005) ›