vs PHX (Jan 12, 2006)@ EDM (Jan 16, 2006) ›

January 14, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

LAK 110 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs LAK all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
LAK1001
BUF53210
Shots on goal LAK 33, BUF 34W R. MillerL M. Garon
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 10-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .970
LAK M. Garon .600
LAK A. Hauser .750
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 9
LAK 0 of 7
TURNING POINT
J. McKee goal (P1 1:06), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 68%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
4 (3G-1A)
POINTS
J. Hecht
7
SHOTS
M. Afinogenov
17:11
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
20:18
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.970 (32/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFLAK

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 1 minute, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFLAK

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFLAK
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:06J. McKee (3) 51% to 68%+17
  2. P1 01:19C. Drury (16) 68% to 82%+14
  3. P1 04:33A. Kotalik (18) 83% to 92%+9
  4. P1 10:46J. Hecht (10) 93% to 97%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
3
4
+3
0
2
2.6
16:21
#55 J. Hecht (C)
3
1
4
+3
0
7
3.5
16:49
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
2
3
+2
2
4
2.2
14:10
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
3
3
+3
0
2
2.3
15:57
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
3
3
+2
0
0
2.0
14:51
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
3
0
3
+1
0
4
2.7
13:31
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.7
14:48
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.9
16:31
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
14:31
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
17:11
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
17:47
#74 J. McKee (D)
1
0
1
+3
2
1
0.7
17:05
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
16:40
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
17
0
-0.1
6:25
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
1
0.3
20:18
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.3
16:29
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
2
0.0
19:28
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
18:27
Total
10
17
27
31
34
21.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller331.9702.559:47W

Team Stats

LAKBUF
33Shots on Goal34
7Power Play Chances9
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG3
47Penalty Minutes31
8Hits5
4Blocked Shots12
10Giveaways10
1Takeaways1

Full Game Log

1ST
01:06GOAL (BUF): Jay McKee (3), assists: Mike Grier, Chris Drury
01:19GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (16), assists: Daniel Paille, Mike Grier
04:33GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (18), assists: Jochen Hecht, Tim Connolly
10:46GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (10), assists: Ales Kotalik
17:06GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (11), assists: Tim Connolly, Chris Drury
18:26GOAL (LAK): Jeff Cowan (6), assists: Dustin Brown, Mike Weaver
2ND
06:13GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (12), assists: Teppo Numminen, Ales Kotalik
11:16GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (6), assists: Tim Connolly, Chris Drury
19:20GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (7), unassisted
3RD
14:48GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (8), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Derek Roy
15:36GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (1), assists: Jiri Novotny, Mike Grier
vs PHX (Jan 12, 2006)@ EDM (Jan 16, 2006) ›