vs MTL (Feb 9, 2006)@ CAR (Feb 12, 2006) ›

February 11, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

FLA 35 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA0213
BUF1225
Shots on goal FLA 32, BUF 35W R. MillerL R. Luongo
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .906
FLA R. Luongo .857
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
FLA 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Vanek goal (P2 19:10), Sabres win chance rises from 57% to 82%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
2 (2G)
POINTS
T. Vanek
7
SHOTS
D. Roy
20:45
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
26:18
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.906 (29/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 21 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 61%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 19:10T. Vanek (17) 57% to 82%+25
  2. P2 16:06J. Sim (13) 81% to 58%-23
  3. P1 17:29J. Dumont (8) 60% to 78%+18
  4. P2 10:49C. Gratton (11) 93% to 80%-13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
+3
0
3
1.7
20:45
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
3
1.5
13:06
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
2
0
2
+2
4
7
1.9
17:15
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+1
2
2
1.3
11:45
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+2
0
4
1.9
16:58
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
5
1.1
14:50
#13 J. Novotny (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
12:01
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+3
2
0
0.7
26:18
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
17:49
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
7
2
0.1
13:59
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
16:34
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.4
15:50
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
4:22
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
15:24
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
0
0.1
22:38
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
18:32
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:40
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.5
18:53
Total
5
8
13
19
35
12.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller323.9060.760:00W

Team Stats

FLABUF
32Shots on Goal35
4Power Play Chances6
0%PP%17%
83%PK%100%
0PPG1
21Penalty Minutes19
9Hits14
6Blocked Shots23
13Giveaways19
0Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
17:29GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (8), assists: Ales Kotalik
2ND
05:02GOAL (BUF): Jiri Novotny (1), assists: Derek Roy, Jason Pominville
10:49GOAL (FLA): Chris Gratton (11), assists: Jozef Stumpel, Jon Sim
16:06GOAL (FLA): Jon Sim (13), assists: Juraj Kolnik, Chris Gratton
19:10GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (17), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Derek Roy
3RD
05:00GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (18), assists: Maxim Afinogenov
16:26GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (14), assists: Toni Lydman, J-P Dumont
16:41GOAL (FLA): Mike Van Ryn (5), assists: Nathan Horton, Martin Gelinas
vs MTL (Feb 9, 2006)@ CAR (Feb 12, 2006) ›