vs FLA (Feb 11, 2006)vs ATL (Mar 1, 2006) ›

February 12, 2006

RBC Center | Raleigh

BUF 34 CAR

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF030003
CAR111014
Shots on goal BUF 20, CAR 33W M. GerberL R. Miller
Summary

CAR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .909
CAR M. Gerber .850
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 8
CAR 0 of 9
TURNING POINT
J. Williams goal (P3 5:07), Sabres win chance drops from 80% to 48%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Roy
20:43
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
24:14
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.909 (30/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:14
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 05:07J. Williams (19) 80% to 48%-32
  2. P2 17:55D. Roy (7) 47% to 75%+28
  3. P2 16:58J. Dumont (10) 24% to 47%+23
  4. P2 08:36E. Cole (26) 47% to 24%-23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
2
0
2
0
2
2
1.5
15:56
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+1
2
0
1.3
15:13
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
-1
4
2
0.6
20:43
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-2
2
4
0.9
15:10
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
3
0.7
14:17
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.7
17:18
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.3
14:29
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
20:28
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.3
17:12
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.5
16:19
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.3
14:37
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
13:44
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
0:39
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
4
1
0.2
22:33
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
15:39
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
22:57
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
24:14
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.5
20:22
Total
3
5
8
18
20
8.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller333.9090.864:53O

Team Stats

BUFCAR
20Shots on Goal33
8Power Play Chances9
13%PP%0%
100%PK%88%
1PPG0
18Penalty Minutes16
11Hits15
29Blocked Shots19
4Giveaways8
6Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
16:16GOAL (CAR): Niclas Wallin (3), unassisted
2ND
07:36GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (9), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Paul Gaustad
08:36GOAL (CAR): Erik Cole (26), assists: Cory Stillman, Eric Staal
16:58GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (10), assists: Ales Kotalik, Brian Campbell
17:55GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (7), assists: Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
05:07GOAL (CAR): Justin Williams (19), assists: Ray Whitney, Matt Cullen
SO
00:00GOAL (CAR): Matt Cullen, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov, assists: Martin Gerber(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy, assists: Martin Gerber(SO)
00:00GOAL (CAR): Justin Williams, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (CAR): Eric Staal, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
vs FLA (Feb 11, 2006)vs ATL (Mar 1, 2006) ›