vs OTT (Mar 24, 2006)@ NYR (Mar 27, 2006) ›

March 25, 2006

TD Banknorth Garden | Boston

BUF 45 BOS

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0224
BOS1315
Shots on goal BUF 40, BOS 39W T. ThomasL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 4-5.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .872
BOS T. Thomas .900
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 7
BOS 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
M. Sturm goal (P3 15:11), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 9%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
3 (3A)
POINTS
C. Drury
20:33
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
23:40
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.872 (34/39)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 17 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 15:11M. Sturm (27) 52% to 9%-43
  2. P3 12:52H. Tallinder (6) 13% to 52%+39
  3. P2 08:38G. Murray (23) 54% to 30%-24
  4. P2 06:40D. Roy (16) 31% to 54%+23

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
3
3
+1
2
6
2.3
17:27
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
20:33
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.2
19:55
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.6
11:09
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
0.9
15:05
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
-1
4
2
0.4
14:19
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
1
0
1
-2
0
2
1.0
17:23
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
23:40
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
17:35
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
13:25
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
8:47
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
12:59
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:00
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
11:46
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
6
0.3
15:26
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
17:33
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:16
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
18:49
Total
4
8
12
12
40
10.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller395.872-0.359:04L

Team Stats

BUFBOS
40Shots on Goal39
7Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
12Penalty Minutes14
13Hits17
6Blocked Shots13
6Giveaways4
1Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
12:16GOAL (BOS): Patrice Bergeron (24), assists: Marco Sturm, Brad Boyes
2ND
06:40GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (16), assists: Teppo Numminen, Maxim Afinogenov
08:38GOAL (BOS): Glen Murray (23), assists: Brad Isbister, David Tanabe
09:39GOAL (BOS): Tom Fitzgerald (4), assists: Yan Stastny
14:07GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (23), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Mike Grier
19:11GOAL (BOS): Brad Boyes (23), assists: Glen Murray
3RD
00:38GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (10), assists: Chris Drury, Taylor Pyatt
12:52GOAL (BUF): Henrik Tallinder (6), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Toni Lydman
15:11GOAL (BOS): Marco Sturm (27), assists: Brad Boyes, Patrice Bergeron
vs OTT (Mar 24, 2006)@ NYR (Mar 27, 2006) ›