vs CAR (Mar 22, 2006)@ BOS (Mar 25, 2006) ›

March 24, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 31 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT2013
BUF0101
Shots on goal OTT 24, BUF 29W R. EmeryL R. Miller
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-3.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .875
OTT R. Emery .966
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
OTT 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
D. Alfredsson goal (P1 4:32), Sabres win chance drops from 42% to 26%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Grier
4
SHOTS
D. Brière
20:42
TOI (F)
T. Numminen
22:51
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.875 (21/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 42%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:32D. Alfredsson (39) 42% to 26%-16
  2. P2 09:54D. Brière (21) 8% to 22%+14
  3. P1 06:56A. Vermette (19) 25% to 13%-12
  4. P3 04:56P. Eaves (15) 16% to 4%-12

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
1.1
13:27
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
0
2
3
1.0
20:42
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
-1
0
3
0.8
18:51
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:46
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
14:51
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.5
12:59
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
19:19
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
8:54
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
4
0.2
14:49
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.1
19:02
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
8:07
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
13:12
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
15:41
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
20:36
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:54
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.4
22:51
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
15:41
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
13:31
Total
1
2
3
12
29
4.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller243.875-0.159:34L

Team Stats

OTTBUF
24Shots on Goal29
5Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
12Penalty Minutes12
15Hits18
13Blocked Shots10
17Giveaways18
2Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
04:32GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (39), assists: Tyler Arnason, Andrej Meszaros
06:56GOAL (OTT): Antoine Vermette (19), assists: Brian McGrattan, Chris Kelly
2ND
09:54GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (21), assists: J-P Dumont, Brian Campbell
3RD
04:56GOAL (OTT): Patrick Eaves (15), assists: Jason Spezza, Wade Redden
vs CAR (Mar 22, 2006)@ BOS (Mar 25, 2006) ›