vs BOS (Mar 29, 2006)@ TOR (Apr 1, 2006) ›

March 30, 2006

Continental Airlines Arena | East Rutherford

BUF 13 NJD

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
NJD1023
Shots on goal BUF 30, NJD 28W M. BrodeurL M. Biron
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 1-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .893
NJD M. Brodeur .967
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
NJD 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Madden goal (P1 0:51), Sabres win chance drops from 53% to 36%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Afinogenov
17:41
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
21:30
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.893 (25/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 1 minute, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 00:51J. Madden (14) 53% to 36%-17
  2. P3 09:28Z. Parise (11) 16% to 3%-13
  3. P3 14:47T. Connolly (12) 1% to 10%+9
  4. P3 15:52B. Gionta (41) 8% to 1%-7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
14:40
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
4
1.1
15:32
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.8
21:30
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
16:44
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:55
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
13:55
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
13:22
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
10:25
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
12:15
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
16:55
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:17
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
17:00
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
5
0.2
17:41
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
19:37
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:42
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
21:00
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
16:23
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
19:00
Total
1
2
3
6
30
4.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron283.8930.359:50L

Team Stats

BUFNJD
30Shots on Goal28
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes4
10Hits23
10Blocked Shots10
21Giveaways25
6Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
00:51GOAL (NJD): John Madden (14), assists: Grant Marshall, Paul Martin
3RD
09:28GOAL (NJD): Zach Parise (11), assists: Scott Gomez, David Hale
14:47GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (12), assists: Ales Kotalik, Dmitri Kalinin
15:52GOAL (NJD): Brian Gionta (41), assists: Scott Gomez
vs BOS (Mar 29, 2006)@ TOR (Apr 1, 2006) ›