@ NJD (Mar 30, 2006)@ TOR (Apr 3, 2006) ›

April 1, 2006

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 07 TOR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0000
TOR5027
Shots on goal BUF 24, TOR 23W J. AubinL R. Miller
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 0-7.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .706
Buffalo M. Biron .667
TOR J. Aubin 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 7
TOR 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. O'Neill goal (P1 2:05), Sabres win chance drops from 54% to 36%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
POINTS
A. Kotalik
19:20
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
21:29
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.706 (12/17)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:05J. O'Neill (17) 54% to 36%-18
  2. P1 04:49I. White (1) 36% to 21%-15
  3. P1 05:28T. Domi (5) 21% to 10%-11
  4. P1 06:24N. Antropov (9) 10% to 4%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
-3
0
1
0.1
14:59
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
19:20
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
12:55
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
18:14
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
18:20
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
18:31
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
12:47
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:23
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-3
2
2
0.3
12:16
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
5
1
0.1
12:08
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
15:51
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-3
0
3
0.2
13:39
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
20:20
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-4
2
1
-0.1
15:11
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.7
16:14
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
21:29
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
18:08
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.3
16:32
Total
0
0
0
13
24
2.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller175.706-2.545:28L
#43 M. Biron62.667-1.114:28

Team Stats

BUFTOR
24Shots on Goal23
7Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
13Penalty Minutes19
27Hits35
11Blocked Shots9
22Giveaways21
5Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
02:05GOAL (TOR): Jeff O'Neill (17), assists: Alexander Steen, Matt Stajan
04:49GOAL (TOR): Ian White (1), unassisted
05:28GOAL (TOR): Tie Domi (5), assists: Clarke Wilm, Luke Richardson
06:24GOAL (TOR): Nik Antropov (9), assists: Mats Sundin, Alexei Ponikarovsky
15:20GOAL (TOR): Nik Antropov (10), assists: Mats Sundin, Alexei Ponikarovsky
3RD
04:43GOAL (TOR): Alexei Ponikarovsky (19), assists: Darcy Tucker, Kyle Wellwood
10:21GOAL (TOR): Matt Stajan (11), assists: Alexander Steen, Ian White
@ NJD (Mar 30, 2006)@ TOR (Apr 3, 2006) ›