@ TOR (Apr 1, 2006)vs OTT (Apr 5, 2006) ›

April 3, 2006

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 32 TOR

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF110013
TOR011002
Shots on goal BUF 36, TOR 33W M. BironL J. Aubin
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .939
TOR J. Aubin .944
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
TOR 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
M. Stajan goal (P3 12:40), Sabres win chance drops from 89% to 51%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Brière
22:21
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
26:03
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.939 (31/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 15 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 12:40M. Stajan (12) 89% to 51%-38
  2. P1 04:01D. Roy (17) 52% to 70%+18
  3. P2 11:57J. Pohl (2) 90% to 75%-15
  4. P2 10:22M. Afinogenov (20) 76% to 90%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
2
2
+1
2
2
1.6
17:00
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
7
2.0
18:29
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
17:56
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
4
0.9
22:21
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:07
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
21:01
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
4:27
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.2
20:43
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:13
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
12:25
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
4
0.4
14:02
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
3:24
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.5
26:03
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
21:41
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
23:14
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:59
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:24
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.3
17:39
Total
2
4
6
14
36
7.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron332.9391.664:52W

Team Stats

BUFTOR
36Shots on Goal33
5Power Play Chances6
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
14Penalty Minutes12
31Hits32
15Blocked Shots12
16Giveaways25
6Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
04:01GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (17), assists: Ales Kotalik, Maxim Afinogenov
2ND
10:22GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (20), assists: Daniel Brière, Ales Kotalik
11:57GOAL (TOR): John Pohl (2), assists: Mats Sundin, Alexei Ponikarovsky
3RD
12:40GOAL (TOR): Matt Stajan (12), assists: Alexander Steen, Jeff O'Neill
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov, assists: Jean-Sebastien Aubin(SO)
@ TOR (Apr 1, 2006)vs OTT (Apr 5, 2006) ›