@ TOR (Apr 3, 2006)vs PHI (Apr 7, 2006) ›

April 5, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 45 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT12104
BUF12115
Shots on goal OTT 34, BUF 39W M. BironL R. Emery
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-4 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .882
OTT R. Emery .872
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 7
OTT 1 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Brière goal (OT 4:13), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 100%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
4 (1G-3A)
POINTS
D. Roy
6
SHOTS
D. Brière
21:17
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
24:41
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.882 (30/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:13
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 41%.

OT 4:13
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 04:13D. Brière (24) 53% to 100%+47
  2. P3 19:20D. Brière (23) 1% to 47%+46
  3. P3 14:48C. Kelly (9) 46% to 8%-38
  4. P1 19:29D. Alfredsson (40) 63% to 42%-21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
3
4
-2
0
5
3.1
20:14
#48 D. Brière (C)
2
1
3
0
0
4
2.7
21:17
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
2
2
0
0
2
1.7
22:06
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
6
1.4
18:11
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-3
0
4
0.9
20:49
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
+2
2
2
0.8
18:33
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
16:20
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
1
0
1
-3
0
2
0.9
18:53
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
17:45
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
20:57
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
8:09
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
11:11
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
10:11
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
5:14
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.1
21:59
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
24:41
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
20:41
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
13:58
Total
5
9
14
13
39
13.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron344.8820.063:37W

Team Stats

OTTBUF
34Shots on Goal39
3Power Play Chances7
33%PP%43%
57%PK%67%
1PPG3
21Penalty Minutes13
14Hits15
20Blocked Shots14
13Giveaways14
0Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
14:11GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (21), assists: Brian Campbell, Martin Biron
19:29GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (40), assists: Mike Fisher, Jason Spezza
2ND
05:18GOAL (OTT): Christoph Schubert (4), unassisted
06:08GOAL (OTT): Patrick Eaves (18), assists: Jason Spezza, Brian Pothier
06:29GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (18), assists: Mike Grier, Chris Drury
11:03GOAL (BUF): Rory Fitzpatrick (4), assists: Daniel Brière, Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
14:48GOAL (OTT): Chris Kelly (9), assists: Vaclav Varada, Brian Pothier
19:20GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (23), assists: Brian Campbell, Maxim Afinogenov
OT
04:13GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (24), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Ales Kotalik
@ TOR (Apr 3, 2006)vs PHI (Apr 7, 2006) ›