vs OTT (Apr 5, 2006)@ OTT (Apr 8, 2006) ›

April 7, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 42 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI2114
BUF0202
Shots on goal PHI 34, BUF 22W R. EscheL R. Miller
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .882
PHI R. Esche .909
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
PHI 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
R. Umberger goal (P1 1:32), Sabres win chance drops from 56% to 38%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Brière
20:16
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
21:06
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.882 (30/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:32R. Umberger (17) 56% to 38%-18
  2. P2 17:58A. Kotalik (25) 9% to 26%+17
  3. P2 09:07E. Desjardins (4) 30% to 13%-17
  4. P2 00:59T. Connolly (13) 18% to 34%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
17:34
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
0.9
19:59
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
4
1.0
17:56
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
18:25
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
4
2
-0.1
17:10
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:26
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
6:57
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
17:48
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
15:57
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
14:35
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
9:25
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.4
20:16
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
4:26
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.4
20:13
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
20:49
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
13:20
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
21:06
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
20:49
Total
2
2
4
10
22
5.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller344.8820.059:06L

Team Stats

PHIBUF
34Shots on Goal22
4Power Play Chances3
25%PP%33%
67%PK%75%
1PPG1
8Penalty Minutes10
17Hits22
15Blocked Shots19
7Giveaways23
6Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
01:32GOAL (PHI): R.J. Umberger (17), assists: Jeff Carter, Niko Dimitrakos
09:06GOAL (PHI): Simon Gagne (44), assists: Mike Richards, Mike Knuble
2ND
00:59GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (13), unassisted
09:07GOAL (PHI): Eric Desjardins (4), assists: Freddy Meyer, Simon Gagne
17:58GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (25), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Rory Fitzpatrick
3RD
15:50GOAL (PHI): Mike Knuble (33), assists: Joni Pitkanen, Simon Gagne
vs OTT (Apr 5, 2006)@ OTT (Apr 8, 2006) ›