vs PHI (Apr 7, 2006)vs MTL (Apr 12, 2006) ›

April 8, 2006

Scotiabank Place | Ottawa

BUF 62 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2316
OTT1102
Shots on goal BUF 31, OTT 34W R. MillerL R. Emery
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .941
OTT R. Emery .818
OTT M. Morrison .778
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
OTT 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Connolly goal (P1 15:46), Sabres win chance rises from 37% to 57%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
T. Connolly
17:17
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
21:20
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.941 (32/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 3 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 35%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 15:46T. Connolly (14) 37% to 57%+20
  2. P2 03:03T. Pyatt (5) 60% to 79%+19
  3. P1 01:17C. Drury (26) 35% to 52%+17
  4. P1 14:19P. Eaves (19) 53% to 36%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
2
1
3
+1
0
4
2.7
17:17
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.8
15:59
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.5
12:47
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
2
2
+2
0
0
1.3
13:31
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.5
13:42
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
0.9
12:48
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.6
15:14
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.0
14:47
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
14:04
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
2
1.0
19:13
#74 J. McKee (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
3
1.1
19:41
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
15:08
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
13:46
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
+1
4
1
-0.1
17:00
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
21:20
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
+3
4
0
-0.2
19:20
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:14
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
20:09
Total
6
11
17
10
31
14.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller342.9411.760:00W

Team Stats

BUFOTT
31Shots on Goal34
4Power Play Chances4
25%PP%25%
75%PK%75%
1PPG1
10Penalty Minutes10
17Hits29
14Blocked Shots16
11Giveaways15
6Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
01:17GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (26), assists: Mike Grier
14:19GOAL (OTT): Patrick Eaves (19), assists: Daniel Alfredsson, Jason Spezza
15:46GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (14), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Ales Kotalik
2ND
03:03GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (5), assists: Paul Gaustad, Thomas Vanek
06:19GOAL (BUF): Jay McKee (5), assists: Thomas Vanek, Taylor Pyatt
07:13GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (41), assists: Jason Spezza, Dany Heatley
14:50GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (2), assists: Tim Connolly, Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
15:03GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (15), assists: Chris Drury, J-P Dumont
vs PHI (Apr 7, 2006)vs MTL (Apr 12, 2006) ›