vs MTL (Apr 12, 2006)vs TOR (Apr 16, 2006) ›

April 15, 2006

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 42 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1034
MTL0202
Shots on goal BUF 30, MTL 45W R. MillerL D. Aebischer
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .956
MTL D. Aebischer .897
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
MTL 1 of 6
TURNING POINT
J. Dumont goal (P3 6:48), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 83%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
18:29
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
23:10
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.956 (43/45)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 13 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 06:48J. Dumont (18) 50% to 83%+33
  2. P3 04:37C. Drury (27) 16% to 45%+29
  3. P2 18:37M. Komisarek (2) 50% to 23%-27
  4. P2 17:52M. Ryder (30) 74% to 50%-24

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.8
14:54
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
1
1.6
17:58
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.8
14:53
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.8
14:54
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
4
1.0
16:58
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.3
16:12
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
-1
4
0
0.3
22:59
#27 T. Numminen (D)
1
0
1
+3
0
1
0.9
20:31
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
1.2
19:05
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
5
0.2
18:29
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
13:08
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
15:43
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
9:06
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
9:43
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
10:02
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.3
23:10
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+2
4
2
-0.1
18:26
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
13:06
Total
4
7
11
12
30
10.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller452.9562.860:00W

Team Stats

BUFMTL
30Shots on Goal45
2Power Play Chances6
0%PP%17%
83%PK%100%
0PPG1
12Penalty Minutes4
13Hits14
27Blocked Shots8
12Giveaways13
18Takeaways21

Full Game Log

1ST
10:20GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (22), assists: J-P Dumont, Henrik Tallinder
2ND
17:52GOAL (MTL): Michael Ryder (30), assists: Sheldon Souray, Saku Koivu
18:37GOAL (MTL): Mike Komisarek (2), assists: Tomas Plekanec
3RD
04:37GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (27), assists: Mike Grier, Jay McKee
06:48GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (18), assists: Daniel Brière, Jason Pominville
19:23GOAL (BUF): Teppo Numminen (2), assists: Chris Drury
vs MTL (Apr 12, 2006)vs TOR (Apr 16, 2006) ›