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April 12, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MTL 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL0101
BUF2013
Shots on goal MTL 28, BUF 34W R. MillerL C. Huet
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .964
MTL C. Huet .912
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
MTL 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
T. Pyatt goal (P1 2:51), Sabres win chance rises from 57% to 74%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Pyatt
5
SHOTS
M. Grier
18:22
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
25:19
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.964 (27/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 3 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:51T. Pyatt (6) 57% to 74%+17
  2. P2 05:34S. Souray (12) 90% to 77%-13
  3. P1 18:26T. Connolly (16) 75% to 89%+14
  4. P3 02:02D. Brière (25) 84% to 95%+11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
0
0
2
1.7
15:12
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
2
2
+1
6
2
1.0
14:05
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
5
1.0
9:52
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.2
14:42
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.8
24:58
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
25:19
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
17:12
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
13:35
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.2
11:33
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
18:07
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
18:22
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
8:18
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
12:06
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:35
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
16:35
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
13:44
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:38
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.2
20:23
Total
3
5
8
18
34
8.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller281.9642.060:00W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
28Shots on Goal34
6Power Play Chances2
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG1
12Penalty Minutes20
15Hits17
11Blocked Shots14
15Giveaways10
3Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
02:51GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (6), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Maxim Afinogenov
18:26GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (16), assists: Toni Lydman, Maxim Afinogenov
2ND
05:34GOAL (MTL): Sheldon Souray (12), unassisted
3RD
02:02GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (25), assists: Tim Connolly, Ryan Miller
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