@ PHI (Apr 28, 2006)@ PHI (May 2, 2006) ›

April 30, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 03 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-timeFull Round 1 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI0000
BUF1113
Shots on goal PHI 24, BUF 33W R. MillerL R. Esche
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller 1.000
PHI R. Esche .909
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
PHI 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
T. Connolly goal (P1 6:05), Sabres win chance rises from 58% to 74%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Dumont
5
SHOTS
C. Drury
21:46
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
22:06
TOI (D)
R. Miller
1.000 (24/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 6 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 06:05T. Connolly (3) 58% to 74%+16
  2. P2 19:12J. Dumont (4) 84% to 94%+10
  3. P2 08:10Tripping on Daniel Brière, 2 min 78% to 74%-4
  4. P2 05:10Delaying game puck over glass on Derek Roy, 2 min 77% to 73%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
5
1.7
17:39
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
0
0
1
1.8
15:14
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
+1
2
0
1.3
18:52
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
21:46
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.1
15:51
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
22:06
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
10:43
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
14:24
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
12:13
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:42
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
10:49
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
15:07
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:30
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
18:03
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:49
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
21:46
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
14:36
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
15:48
Total
3
6
9
6
33
9.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller2401.0002.459:56W

Team Stats

PHIBUF
24Shots on Goal33
3Power Play Chances6
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG2
12Penalty Minutes6
24Hits23
23Blocked Shots15
11Giveaways16
1Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
06:05GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (3), assists: Chris Drury, Brian Campbell
2ND
19:12GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (4), assists: Daniel Brière, Tim Connolly
3RD
04:50GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (1), assists: Daniel Brière, J-P Dumont
@ PHI (Apr 28, 2006)@ PHI (May 2, 2006) ›