vs PHI (Apr 30, 2006)@ OTT (May 5, 2006) ›

May 2, 2006

Wachovia Center | Philadelphia

BUF 71 PHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-timeFull Round 1 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF3317
PHI0101
Shots on goal BUF 28, PHI 22W R. MillerL R. Esche
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 7-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .955
PHI A. Niittymaki .818
PHI R. Esche .706
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
PHI 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Grier goal (P1 11:16), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 70%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Drury
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
M. Grier
5
SHOTS
T. Connolly
17:51
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
21:38
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.955 (21/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 11 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 11:16M. Grier (2) 51% to 70%+19
  2. P1 17:34A. Kotalik (3) 71% to 86%+15
  3. P1 19:27D. Roy (1) 86% to 94%+8
  4. P1 04:22Too many men on the ice on Unknown, 2 min 51% to 54%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#23 C. Drury (C)
2
2
4
+4
0
4
3.1
16:41
#25 M. Grier (RW)
1
3
4
+4
0
5
3.2
15:01
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
2
3
+4
0
4
2.4
16:40
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+2
0
4
1.8
15:54
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
13:29
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
12:54
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
17:51
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
13:09
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
13:07
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
1
1
+6
2
0
0.6
21:38
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+6
0
0
0.7
20:48
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
6
0
-0.3
12:33
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
10:35
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
15:42
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:42
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:07
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:12
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.2
20:53
Total
7
13
20
10
28
15.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller221.9551.460:00W

Team Stats

BUFPHI
28Shots on Goal22
3Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes6
8Hits14
15Blocked Shots9
6Giveaways22
13Takeaways12

Full Game Log

1ST
11:16GOAL (BUF): Mike Grier (2), assists: Chris Drury, Derek Roy
17:34GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (3), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
19:27GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Mike Grier, Chris Drury
2ND
03:05GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (4), assists: Toni Lydman, Henrik Tallinder
07:19GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (2), assists: Daniel Brière, J-P Dumont
18:57GOAL (PHI): Branko Radivojevic (1), assists: Michal Handzus, Mike Richards
19:46GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (2), assists: Derek Roy, Mike Grier
3RD
02:12GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (3), assists: Mike Grier
vs PHI (Apr 30, 2006)@ OTT (May 5, 2006) ›