@ OTT (May 8, 2006)vs OTT (May 11, 2006) ›

May 10, 2006

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 23 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-timeFull Round 2 series breakdown
1ST2ND3RDOTT
OTT00202
BUF10113
Shots on goal OTT 28, BUF 24W R. MillerL R. Emery
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .929
OTT R. Emery .875
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
OTT 2 of 8
TURNING POINT
J. Dumont goal (OT 5:05), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 100%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
J. Hecht
21:59
TOI (F)
H. Tallinder
24:57
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.929 (26/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 20 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 5:05
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

OT 5:05
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 05:05J. Dumont (6) 47% to 100%+53
  2. P3 18:30J. Spezza (5) 91% to 47%-44
  3. P3 10:15M. Afinogenov (3) 47% to 84%+37
  4. P3 05:47J. Spezza (4) 72% to 42%-30

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to sudden-death overtime. The opening value comes from both teams' regular-season goals for and against, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2005–06 regular season (82 games).

Wins (52)Losses (30, 6 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 90% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 89% when yes, 51% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 80% when yes, 43% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 80% when yes, 45% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
14:40
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
15:54
#23 C. Drury (C)
1
0
1
0
2
2
0.9
19:24
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
9:25
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.9
10:43
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
0
2
3
1.1
20:00
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
4
0.7
21:59
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
14:48
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
24:57
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
10:58
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:48
#25 M. Grier (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
19:34
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
+1
4
0
-0.2
13:33
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
24:35
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
11:08
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.1
24:51
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
14:17
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.1
23:07
Total
3
6
9
20
24
8.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller282.9291.165:05W

Team Stats

OTTBUF
28Shots on Goal24
8Power Play Chances5
25%PP%20%
80%PK%75%
2PPG1
14Penalty Minutes20
24Hits40
8Blocked Shots19
23Giveaways16
2Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
09:24GOAL (BUF): Chris Drury (5), assists: Jason Pominville, Daniel Brière
3RD
05:47GOAL (OTT): Jason Spezza (4), assists: Wade Redden, Daniel Alfredsson
10:15GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (3), assists: Derek Roy, Jochen Hecht
18:30GOAL (OTT): Jason Spezza (5), assists: Brian Pothier, Daniel Alfredsson
OT
05:05GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (6), assists: Taylor Pyatt, Henrik Tallinder
@ OTT (May 8, 2006)vs OTT (May 11, 2006) ›