vs ATL (Oct 28, 2006)vs TOR (Nov 4, 2006) ›

November 2, 2006

TD Banknorth Garden | Boston

BUF 54 BOS

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
BUF013015
BOS031004
Shots on goal BUF 33, BOS 34W R. MillerL T. Thomas
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 5-4 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .882
BOS T. Thomas .879
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
BOS 2 of 3
TURNING POINT
A. Kotalik goal (P3 18:25), Sabres win chance rises from 3% to 53%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Brière
21:08
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
27:49
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.882 (30/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 3:38
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 18:25A. Kotalik (4) 3% to 53%+50
  2. P2 06:43J. Pominville (8) 33% to 57%+24
  3. P2 13:26M. Savard (2) 52% to 30%-22
  4. P2 01:16P. Axelsson (3) 57% to 35%-22

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.4
19:16
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
2
2
+2
0
3
1.5
19:16
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
2
0
2
+2
2
6
1.8
20:38
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
4
0.9
15:23
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
1
1
0
0
4
0.9
20:39
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
13:38
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.2
16:49
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
4
3
0.5
15:47
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.9
20:38
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
11:13
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:53
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
21:08
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:13
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
21:35
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
27:49
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
21:53
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.2
16:04
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
17:46
Total
4
8
12
10
33
10.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller344.8820.064:57W

Team Stats

BUFBOS
33Shots on Goal34
4Power Play Chances3
0%PP%67%
33%PK%100%
0PPG2
10Penalty Minutes12
13Hits13
10Blocked Shots10
7Giveaways4
2Takeaways10

Full Game Log

2ND
01:16GOAL (BOS): P.J. Axelsson (3), assists: Marc Savard, Matt Lashoff
06:43GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (8), assists: Brian Campbell, Jochen Hecht
13:26GOAL (BOS): Marc Savard (2), assists: Patrice Bergeron
19:16GOAL (BOS): Glen Murray (5), assists: Marc Savard, P.J. Axelsson
3RD
03:56GOAL (BOS): Mark Mowers (1), assists: Brad Boyes, Jeff Hoggan
11:11GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (7), assists: Derek Roy, Thomas Vanek
17:30GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (8), assists: Thomas Vanek, Derek Roy
18:25GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (4), assists: Paul Gaustad, Chris Drury
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière, assists: Tim Thomas(SO)
00:00GOAL (BOS): Patrice Bergeron, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik, assists: Tim Thomas(SO)
vs ATL (Oct 28, 2006)vs TOR (Nov 4, 2006) ›