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January 10, 2007

United Center | Chicago

BUF 21 CHI

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
CHI0011
Shots on goal BUF 29, CHI 35W R. MillerL N. Khabibulin
Summary

CHI had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .971
CHI N. Khabibulin .931
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
CHI 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (P1 4:47), Sabres win chance rises from 57% to 74%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Pominville
21:22
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
23:11
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.971 (34/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFCHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:47J. Hecht (11) 57% to 74%+17
  2. P3 02:56M. Afinogenov (20) 83% to 96%+13
  3. P2 19:23Tripping on Derek Roy, 2 min 81% to 77%-4
  4. P2 10:40Hooking on Maxim Afinogenov, 2 min 78% to 75%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.6
18:08
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
17:57
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
1.1
21:22
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
5
1.1
19:53
#55 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
4
1.1
15:26
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
4
0.9
18:31
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:13
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:23
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
9:04
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
11:07
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
12:47
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:07
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
18:44
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
4
1
0.1
16:56
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:29
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
13:18
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
23:11
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
4
0.4
20:39
Total
2
4
6
10
29
6.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller351.9712.759:55W

Team Stats

BUFCHI
29Shots on Goal35
6Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes16
11Hits17
13Blocked Shots11
5Giveaways2
1Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
04:47GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (11), assists: Jason Pominville, Daniel Brière
3RD
02:56GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (20), assists: Thomas Vanek, Derek Roy
19:10GOAL (CHI): Denis Arkhipov (6), assists: Brent Seabrook
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